Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
QRO
3 - 3
CAZ
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
CAZ
0 - 2
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
PAC
4 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 3
CAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CAZ
1 - 3
JAG
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 1
PUM
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 1
TIG
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 1
NEC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 3
TIG
45%
24%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 0
TIG
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |