Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
COR
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAZ
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 3
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TAC
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
6 - 1
SES
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
SAN
41%
25%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 2
SNL
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |