Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MON
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
MON
4 - 3
CAZ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MOR
0 - 0
PUM
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 2
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |