CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 0
QRO
73%
18%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
EST
2 - 1
CAZ
44%
25%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TIG
64%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 0
ARA
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 0
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
SNL
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
PUM
6 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |