Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Cruz Azul vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 1
JAG
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CAZ
2 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
VER
2 - 6
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
CAZ
3 - 3
IRA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 1
ATS
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 2
PUM
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PUM
3 - 2
MON
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
EST
1 - 3
PUM
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PUM
6 - 1
VER
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |