Cruz Azul vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 2
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAZ
3 - 1
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 1
PUE
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
PAC
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 1
TIG
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAC
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |