Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VER
3 - 1
CAZ
33%
28%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TIG
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
CAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
CAZ
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
PUE
0 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
TIJ
0 - 2
MOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |