Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
LIB
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
5 - 2
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 4
TIG
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATL
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 2
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |