Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
AME
2 - 0
CAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 0
ATS
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 1
MOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
43%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
SNL
0 - 2
MOR
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |