Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis

Cruz Azul CA Morelia
84 ELO 81
8.8% Tilt 0.1%
321º General ELO ranking 1551º
Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Cruz Azul
23.1%
Draw
20.4%
CA Morelia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
CA Morelia
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cruz Azul
+25%
+8%
CA Morelia

ELO progression

Cruz Azul
CA Morelia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2007
AME
América
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
84 84 0 0
04 Mar. 2007
CAZ
Cruz Azul
1 - 0
Tecos
EST
65%
20%
15%
83 75 8 +1
25 Feb. 2007
PUM
Pumas UNAM
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
83 81 2 0
18 Feb. 2007
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
70%
19%
11%
83 73 10 0
15 Feb. 2007
NEC
Necaxa
0 - 2
Cruz Azul
CAZ
35%
26%
38%
83 79 4 0

Matches

CA Morelia
CA Morelia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2007
MOR
CA Morelia
0 - 1
Pachuca
PAC
43%
25%
32%
81 84 3 0
04 Mar. 2007
SAN
Santos Laguna
2 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
40%
26%
34%
81 76 5 0
25 Feb. 2007
MOR
CA Morelia
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
50%
26%
25%
81 84 3 0
17 Feb. 2007
JAG
Jaguares FC
2 - 1
CA Morelia
MOR
47%
25%
28%
81 80 1 0
15 Feb. 2007
MOR
CA Morelia
5 - 0
Veracruz
VER
60%
22%
18%
81 75 6 0