Cruz Azul vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PUM
0 - 1
CAZ
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAZ
0 - 0
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
CAZ
35%
26%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 1
PAC
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
50%
26%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
JAG
2 - 1
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
5 - 0
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |