Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
CAZ
36%
27%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LOB
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
MON
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
ATS
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 1
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |