Cruz Azul vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
4 - 0
TAC
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
58%
24%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TIJ
0 - 0
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
CAZ
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
SNL
65%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |