CONCACAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 0
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
QRO
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |