Cruz Azul vs Mineros de Zacatecas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 3
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CAZ
3 - 4
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 1
CAZ
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CAF
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 0
DOR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
MER
4 - 4
ZAC
28%
23%
50%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TOR
5 - 1
ZAC
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 0
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |