Cruz Azul vs León analysis

Cruz Azul León
83 ELO 83
3.1% Tilt -14.8%
321º General ELO ranking 385º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
43.8%
Cruz Azul
24.8%
Draw
31.5%
León

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
León
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cruz Azul
+22%
-9%
León

Points and table prediction

Cruz Azul
Their league position
León
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
14º
30
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Toluca
37
37
100%
América
34
34
100%
Cruz Azul
33
33
0%
Tigres UANL
33
33
0%
Necaxa
31
31
100%
León
30
30
100%
Monterrey
28
28
0%
Pachuca
28
28
0%
FC Juárez
24
25
100%
Pumas UNAM
10º
21
21
10º
52.5%
Chivas Guadalajara
11º
21
21
11º
52.5%
Tijuana
12º
19
19
12º
70%
Atlas FC
13º
18
18
13º
0%
Querétaro
15º
17
18
14º
0%
Atl. San Luis
14º
18
18
15º
52.5%
Mazatlán
16º
17
17
16º
100%
Puebla
17º
9
9
17º
100%
Santos Laguna
18º
7
7
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cruz Azul
León
Final Series
100% 100%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cruz Azul
León
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
AME
América
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
83 82 1 0
09 Apr. 2025
CAZ
Cruz Azul
2 - 1
América
AME
50%
24%
26%
83 83 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
02 Apr. 2025
AME
América
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
52%
24%
24%
83 83 0 0
30 Mar. 2025
CHI
Chivas Guadalajara
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
44%
27%
29%
83 83 0 0

Matches

León
León
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 0
Puebla
PUE
63%
22%
15%
83 73 10 0
05 Apr. 2025
QRO
Querétaro
1 - 1
León
LEO
28%
26%
46%
83 77 6 0
31 Mar. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 2
Pumas UNAM
PUM
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
23 Mar. 2025
LEO
León
1 - 1
Municipal
MUN
78%
15%
7%
83 60 23 0
20 Mar. 2025
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 1
León
LEO
48%
24%
29%
83 83 0 0