Cruz Azul vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
VER
0 - 2
CAZ
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATS
56%
22%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
TIG
0 - 2
CAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAZ
0 - 1
SNL
64%
21%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MOR
4 - 4
CAZ
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAC
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
JAG
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
TOL
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 1
JAG
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VER
3 - 1
JAG
33%
26%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |