Cruz Azul vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
SNL
2 - 1
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
CAZ
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
LOB
0 - 2
CAZ
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UAT
3 - 1
IRA
55%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 1
NEC
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
ATS
2 - 2
IRA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
MER
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |