Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 0
CAZ
36%
27%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 3
TIG
41%
28%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VER
2 - 1
CAZ
39%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TEP
4 - 0
CAF
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
UAT
3 - 1
TEP
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 1
CAÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
TEP
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
3 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |