CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 4-0
Cruz Azul vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 3
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SNL
1 - 2
CAZ
34%
26%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAZ
3 - 1
ATS
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
CAZ
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
CAZ
32%
25%
43%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SFF
2 - 0
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 2
VER
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
ARA
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |