CDS Constitución Unido vs Chimbarongo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
7º
35
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
35 | 55 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 49 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 38 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 25 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 15 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDS Constitución Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACC
2 - 1
CON
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CON
5 - 0
CDC
11%
16%
73%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | +7 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CDQ
5%
11%
85%
|
13 | 63 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDQ
4 - 3
CON
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 63 | 50 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
1 - 3
CON
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Chimbarongo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
BDS
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHG
0 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
SCF
4 - 0
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
4 - 2
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
IBE
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |