Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 2-2
La Unión vs Tumbaco AV25 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.6%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.5%
3.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Unión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 0
CDL
8%
14%
78%
|
50 | 10 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDL
11 - 1
GST
89%
8%
3%
|
50 | 8 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GST
1 - 2
CDL
7%
14%
79%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CDL
1 - 0
RBA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RBA
3 - 0
CDL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Tumbaco AV25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
TAV
1 - 0
CDL
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TAV
0 - 0
FCA
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
TAV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |