La Unión vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Unión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CDL
2 - 1
DUN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CDL
23%
22%
56%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
CDL
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
0 - 0
CAL
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 0
MIG
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2022 |
LIG
3 - 2
MAC
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MAC
3 - 1
TEC
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
OCT
1 - 1
MAC
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
IVT
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAC
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |