La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 2
CDF
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
CDF
0 - 1
ALF
24%
22%
55%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIA
0 - 0
CDF
68%
19%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CDF
2 - 1
COM
27%
22%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
6 - 0
CDF
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 9
VAR
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ALF
6 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 4
VIA
9%
17%
75%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
COM
2 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
AGO
7%
15%
78%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +1 |