La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
OYO
36%
27%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
CDF
55%
22%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CDF
0 - 2
AGO
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NAX
3 - 2
CDF
79%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 1
HAR
10%
18%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
RIV
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AGO
3 - 0
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
NAX
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HAR
6 - 0
VIL
85%
11%
4%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 0
BAL
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |