La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CDF
4 - 4
RIV
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
2 - 1
CDF
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PRA
0 - 1
CDF
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 0
ARN
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CIU
3 - 0
CDF
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
VIL
65%
21%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
CIU
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BER
1 - 1
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
VIA
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |