La Calzada vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
CDF
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDF
4 - 1
CDC
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 4
CDF
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 1
CAV
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 1
CDF
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ANG
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 0
VIL
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
NAX
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
YAG
1 - 1
VIL
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 1
OYO
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |