La Calzada vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 0
CAS
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
CDF
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 1
NAX
10%
18%
72%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 1
CDF
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 0
UDL
14%
23%
64%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
AGO
2 - 2
VAR
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
CDF
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
AUT
0 - 0
VAR
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
VAR
3 - 1
TED
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
RIV
0 - 2
VAR
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +2 |