La Calzada vs CD Varea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDF
17%
22%
61%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
OYO
2 - 1
CDF
43%
27%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
2 - 0
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 3
RIV
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AGO
4 - 0
CDF
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
6 - 0
RIV
85%
10%
5%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
AGO
1 - 2
VAR
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 3
NAX
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
VAR
39%
23%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
VAR
6 - 0
BAL
88%
8%
4%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |