La Calzada vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
OYO
2 - 0
CDF
76%
16%
8%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 5
VAR
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CDF
3 - 0
ALD
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
CDF
66%
20%
14%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 2
ALF
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
NAX
2 - 1
PRA
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 0
NAX
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
SMC
0 - 1
NAX
9%
19%
72%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
NAX
0 - 2
VAR
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 0
NAX
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |