La Calzada vs Náxara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 3
ALB
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 0
CDF
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CDF
2 - 1
TAT
64%
19%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
CDF
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
NAX
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NAX
1 - 0
CLH
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 2
NAX
76%
16%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
NAX
1 - 1
UDL
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
NAX
12%
22%
66%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |