La Calzada vs Tatú analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAP
2 - 2
CDF
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAR
2 - 0
CDF
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CDF
4 - 1
CDC
78%
14%
8%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 4
CDF
44%
23%
34%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tatú
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 1
ANG
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AUT
1 - 0
TAT
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
TAT
2 - 4
NAX
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
YAG
3 - 1
TAT
72%
16%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
TAT
3 - 0
OYO
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |