La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
UDL
2 - 2
CDF
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CDF
2 - 1
ALB
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
VAR
6 - 2
CDF
88%
9%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
RAP
0 - 1
CDF
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CDF
2 - 2
BER
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
2 - 0
RIV
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SDL
3 - 0
ALF
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALF
3 - 1
PRA
78%
15%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
YAG
0 - 1
ALF
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ALF
1 - 0
OYO
80%
14%
6%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |