La Calzada vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
CDF
3 - 2
SMC
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
CDF
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 3
HAR
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGO
0 - 0
CDF
63%
20%
17%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDF
1 - 1
ARN
26%
25%
49%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALF
1 - 0
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SMC
0 - 2
ALF
5%
13%
83%
|
42 | 15 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
ANG
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
ALF
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
ALF
2 - 0
BER
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |