CDF San Martín vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
75.9%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
CDS
4 - 1
CDF
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
IKE
3 - 0
CDF
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 1
CDS
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
CDF
65%
18%
18%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CDF
1 - 0
ADC
39%
21%
40%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
AUR
1 - 2
CDS
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
AUR
10%
16%
74%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AUR
10 - 0
ADC
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
2 - 2
AUR
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
AUR
1 - 0
AMU
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |