CDF San Martín vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
67.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
IRU
2 - 0
CDF
52%
20%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CDF
0 - 3
LAU
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
IZA
3 - 1
CDF
10%
15%
75%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CDF
2 - 3
ELP
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AUR
2 - 0
CDF
74%
14%
12%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 0
CDS
80%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MKE
1 - 3
ARI
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 0
ADC
80%
12%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ARA
5 - 3
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
1 - 2
CDL
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |