CDF San Martín vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
4 - 6
CDF
22%
19%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMU
3 - 3
CDF
41%
22%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CDF
2 - 1
CDS
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
CFR
3 - 4
CDF
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +10 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 7
IRU
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
AMU
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
ARI
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 4
IRU
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 3
IRU
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDA
1 - 1
ARI
12%
17%
71%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |