CDF San Martín vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
79.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
13%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IKE
1 - 0
CDF
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 3
CFR
22%
21%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
IRU
4 - 1
CDF
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 0
AUR
7%
15%
78%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDL
6 - 0
CDF
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 0
IRU
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 1
AUR
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CDL
1 - 4
ARI
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
ARI
2 - 0
TOR
81%
13%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
SLV
1 - 4
ARI
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |