CDF San Martín vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDF San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ZUI
1 - 2
CDF
13%
18%
69%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 1
ZAR
65%
20%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 2
CDF
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
3 - 0
CDA
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 1
LAU
18%
24%
59%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 0
SLV
15%
19%
67%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 2
ARI
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARI
0 - 1
ELP
62%
20%
19%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CDV
3 - 1
ARI
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 0
CDS
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |