DUX Logroño U19 vs Varea U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-114%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
2º
41
2º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DUX Logroño U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
CDE
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 2
CDE
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 2
PRA
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
0 - 4
CDE
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 1
OYO
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Varea U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 1
PRA
45%
21%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CLU
1 - 1
VAR
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 3
OYO
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 2
VAR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
CDV
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |