DUX Logroño U19 vs CD Alfaro U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-114%
-84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
9º
2º
42
1º
13º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DUX Logroño U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDE
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 0
NAX
75%
14%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 2
CDE
72%
15%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
2 - 1
COM
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 3
CDE
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
CD Alfaro U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ALF
2 - 1
PRA
54%
20%
26%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CLU
4 - 4
ALF
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALF
1 - 5
OYO
58%
20%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CDE
1 - 1
ALF
57%
22%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALF
4 - 2
CDV
66%
18%
17%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |