EF Zona 5 vs UD Carrión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Zona 5
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 0
CDE
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 2
CDB
32%
25%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 0
CDE
51%
22%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CDE
0 - 3
DAI
18%
22%
60%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TOM
3 - 0
CDE
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UD Carrión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UDC
2 - 0
ABA
57%
21%
22%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
UDT
0 - 0
UDC
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
UDC
0 - 0
PED
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
UDC
4 - 0
HEL
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 5
UDC
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |