EF Zona 5 vs U.D. Alpera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Zona 5
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDM
4 - 1
CDE
65%
19%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CDE
1 - 5
LSO
12%
19%
69%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CER
3 - 0
CDE
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CDE
2 - 1
APU
25%
23%
52%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
HBA
1 - 1
CDE
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ALP
3 - 2
ABA
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UDT
0 - 1
ALP
62%
20%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ALP
2 - 1
PED
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UDC
3 - 0
ALP
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ALP
3 - 3
CAU
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |