C.D.C. CF A vs CDF Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D.C. CF A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PIS
4 - 2
CDC
30%
21%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 0
ESP
73%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JUA
1 - 3
CDC
22%
20%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CDC
3 - 2
VED
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 5
CDC
18%
19%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CDF Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 0
FTI
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FTI
3 - 1
VED
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 2
FTI
66%
17%
17%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
COC
0 - 3
FTI
60%
19%
21%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FTI
1 - 2
PIS
70%
17%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |