Valdepeñas vs CD Tarancón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
61.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
17º
16º
55
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 18 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 0
CDB
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
PED
47%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NOB
0 - 0
CDB
52%
22%
25%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 1
CDT
20%
24%
57%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDB
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Tarancón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 0
AZU
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MAN
0 - 3
TAR
22%
23%
55%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TAR
1 - 3
CIU
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HBA
1 - 0
TAR
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TAR
2 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |