Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-2
Valdepeñas vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
SEV
2 - 0
CDB
49%
28%
24%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 0
POR
70%
20%
10%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDB
70%
18%
11%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
XER
1 - 0
CDB
52%
28%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
CDB
4 - 0
SFE
71%
18%
11%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
RAY
0 - 1
ELC
38%
31%
31%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1972 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 2
RAY
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
RAY
0 - 2
VAD
54%
27%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1972 |
VAL
2 - 1
RAY
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -2 |