Valdepeñas vs Miguel Esteban AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CSP
4 - 1
CDB
87%
8%
4%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 1
PED
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDB
48%
25%
27%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CDB
2 - 0
CVA
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LGI
2 - 0
CDB
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MES
0 - 1
LSO
15%
21%
64%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FUE
2 - 1
MES
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CSP
6 - 0
MES
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MES
3 - 0
PED
65%
20%
15%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 0
MES
53%
23%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |