Valdepeñas vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
MUR
1 - 0
CDB
88%
9%
2%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
CDB
2 - 1
MEL
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
ALM
3 - 1
CDB
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
CDB
5 - 1
CPC
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
MER
4 - 1
CDB
67%
20%
14%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
SFE
1 - 1
SEV
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
POR
3 - 1
SFE
58%
26%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
JER
0 - 0
SFE
58%
26%
16%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
SFE
2 - 3
MUR
34%
30%
37%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
MEL
1 - 0
SFE
61%
24%
16%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |