Valdepeñas vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
42.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
TOM
1 - 1
CDT
63%
17%
21%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
CDT
6 - 3
ZAM
76%
13%
11%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PUL
10 - 1
CDT
73%
14%
13%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
CDT
1 - 0
CFP
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1949 |
SEG
3 - 2
CDT
35%
21%
44%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |