Valdepeñas vs Castillo Locubín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 4
CDB
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CDB
3 - 4
CAR
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDB
61%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CDB
6 - 3
CPH
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
RAC
1 - 1
CDB
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo Locubín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CLO
1 - 1
CDU
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CFS
1 - 2
CLO
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CLO
4 - 0
CDV
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ADM
2 - 4
CLO
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CLO
4 - 1
CDH
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | +1 |