Valdepeñas vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdepeñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
CDB
2 - 1
CDB
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CDB
2 - 0
AGD
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDB
54%
25%
21%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 1
CDB
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CDB
4 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
JUP
1 - 1
CAL
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
CAL
4 - 2
CEM
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
ATB
1 - 2
CAL
34%
27%
38%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
RSO
1 - 2
CAL
62%
19%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CAL
3 - 1
PAI
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |